Archives
2023
Utilizing a Virtual Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactor Digital Twin to Aid in Diversion Pathway Analysis for International Safeguards Applications Plutonium Production under Uranium Constraint Hypersonic Weapons: Vulnerability to Missile Defenses and Comparison to MaRVs Ceci N'est Pas Une Bombe: Lessons from a Field Experiment Using Neutron and Gamma Measurements to Confirm the Absence of Nuclear Weapons Editors' Note Hinge Points: An inside Look at North Korea's Nuclear Program "Computational Fluid Dynamics Analysis of the Infrared Emission from a Generic Hypersonic Glide Vehicle"--A Response Simulating the Passive Neutron and Gamma Signatures of Containerized Nuclear Warheads for Disarmament Verification Radioactive Fallout and Potential Fatalities from Nuclear Attacks on China's New Missile Silo Fields Editors' Note
2022
Mining for the Bomb: The Vulnerability of Buried Plutonium to Clandestine Recovery Computational Fluid Dynamics Analysis of the Infrared Emission From a Generic Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Editors' Note Dark Skies: Space Expansionism, Planetary Geopolitics, and the Ends of Humanity Document-Based Nuclear Archaeology Radiation Exposures and Compensation of Victims of French Atmospheric Nuclear Tests in Polynesia The Long-Term Global Health Burden from Nuclear Weapon Test Explosions in the Atmosphere: Revisiting Andrei Sakharov's 1958 Estimates Editors' Note Capabilities of Commercial Satellite Earth Observation Systems and Applications for Nuclear Verification and Monitoring Assessing Uncertainty in Plutonium Production Estimates Based on the Isotope Ratio Method Editors' Note
2021
Verifying North Korea's Plutonium Production with Nuclear Archaeology Assessing Uranium Ore Processing Activities Using Satellite Imagery at Pyongsan in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea Editors' note Plutonium and Tritium Production in Israel's Dimona Reactor, 1964-2020 Risks to Persian Gulf Cities from Spent Fuel Fires at the Barakah and Bushehr Nuclear Power Plants Editorial Verified Nuclear Warhead Dismantlement: An Analysis and Methodology for Facility Assessment Review and Redaction-Tolerant Image Verification Using Cryptographic Methods Editorial
2020
Global Stocks of Separated Plutonium - Stalled on the Path to Elimination Modelling the Performance of Hypersonic Boost-Glide Missiles Flight Performance Analysis of the Samad Attack Drones Operated by Houthi Armed Forces Editors' Note Geologic Analysis of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's Uranium Resources and Mines Impact of Fuel Enrichment on Key Naval Reactor Characteristics and Non-Proliferation Concerns Editors Note: A question of uranium Physical Public Templates for Nuclear Warhead Verification Data Science in Support of Radiation Detection for Border Monitoring: An Exploratory Study Assessing Priorities towards Achieving Dependable and Secure Computing in the U.S. ICBM Force From the Editors: Applying Data Science to Global Security
2019
Editors Note Science & Global Security: 30 years on, still a big mission Analysis of the Frequency and Detectability of Objects Resembling Nuclear/Radiological Threats in Commercial Cargo Analysis of the DPRK's Nuclear Weapons Capabilities by Estimating Its Highly Enriched Uranium Stockpile and Natural Uranium Reserves Assessing the PRISM reactor as a disposition option for the British plutonium stockpile The Scope of Foreign Assistance to North Korea's Missile Program Neutrino-Based Tools for Nuclear Verification and Diplomacy in North Korea A Cryptographic Escrow for Treaty Declarations and Step-by-Step Verification Editors' note
2018
Proliferation Relevance and Safeguards Implications of Partitioning and Transmutation Nuclear Fuel Cycles Nuclear Archaeology to Distinguish Plutonium and Tritium Production Modes in Heavy-Water Reactors A Passive Method for the Detection of Explosives and Weapons-Grade Plutonium in Nuclear Warheads Editors' Note The 22 September 1979 Vela Incident: Radionuclide and Hydroacoustic Evidence for a Nuclear Explosion Detecting Clandestine Reprocessing Activities in the Middle East Editor's Note
2017
Phosphate Rocks and Nuclear Proliferation Estimating the Amount of Nuclear Weapon-usable Material Outside Government Control Using Data on Reported Seizures The 22 September 1979 Vela Incident: The Detected Double-Flash Editors' Note Timely Verification at Large-Scale Gas Centrifuge Enrichment Plants Economic Losses From a Fire in a Dense-Packed U.S. Spent Fuel Pool Accident Scenarios Involving Pebble Bed High Temperature Reactors Evolutionary Psychology and Global Security Did Star Wars Help End the Cold War? Soviet Response to the SDI Program Editors' Note
2016
BN-800: Spent Fuel Dose Rates and the Plutonium Management and Disposition Agreement Nuclear High-level Waste Tank Explosions: Potential Causes and Impacts of a Hypothetical Accident at India's Kalpakkam Reprocessing Plant Reducing the Danger from Fires in Spent Fuel Pools Editors' Note On the Origins and Significance of the Limit Demarcating Low-Enriched Uranium from Highly Enriched Uranium Detection of Breeding Blankets Using Antineutrinos Potential Signatures and the Means of Detecting a Hypothetical Ground Source Cooled Nuclear Reactor A Proliferation Assessment of Third Generation Laser Uranium Enrichment Technology Editors' Note Memoriam: Stanislav Nikolaevich Rodionov (1929-2014) Estimating the Frequency of Nuclear Accidents A Liability and Insurance Regime for Space Debris Mitigation A Game Theoretic Approach to Nuclear Safeguards Selection and Optimization Editors' Note
2015
Research Note to Hypersonic Boost-Glide Weapons by James M. Acton: Analysis of the Boost Phase of the HTV-2 Hypersonic Glider Tests Hypersonic Boost-Glide Weapons China's Uranium Enrichment Complex Nuclear Warhead Verification: A Review of Attribute and Template Systems Editors' Note The Production of Medical Isotopes without Nuclear Reactors or Uranium Enrichment Revised Geologic Site Characterization of the North Korean Test Site at Punggye-ri A Bayesian Model to Assess the Size of North Korea's Uranium Enrichment Program Editors' Note Trace Fission Product Ratios for Nuclear Forensics Attribution of Weapons-Grade Plutonium from Fast and Thermal Reactors Antineutrino Reactor Safeguards: A Case Study of the DPRK 1994 Nuclear Crisis A Conversion Proposal for Iran's IR-40 Reactor with Reduced Plutonium Production Editors' Note
2014
Determination of the Global Coverage of the IMS Xenon-133 Component for the Detection of Nuclear Explosions Plutonium Disposition in the BN-800 Fast Reactor: An Assessment of Plutonium Isotopics and Breeding Prospects for Conversion of HEU-Fueled Research Reactors in Russia Editors' Note The Soviet Biological Weapons Program The Use of Modal Testing within Nuclear Weapon Dismantlement Verification Supporting Technology for Chain of Custody of Nuclear Weapons and Materials Throughout the Dismantlement and Disposition Processes Measurement Techniques for Warhead Authentication with Attributes: Advantages and Limitations Editors' Note In memoriam: Allan S. Krass (1935-2013) A Review of "Engineers of Victory: The Problem Solvers Who Turned the Tide in the Second World War" Securing China's Weapon-Usable Nuclear Materials Nuclear Archaeology for Gaseous Diffusion Enrichment Plants The Future of Nuclear Archaeology: Reducing Legacy Risks of Weapons Fissile Material Editors' Note
2013
A Revised Assessment of the North Korean KN-08 ICBM Decreasing HEU Stocks and Use at the Institute of Physics and Power Engineering Radiation Safety Issues of Using Regenerated Uranium in Nuclear Fuel Manufacturing at the Electrostal Plant Status and Prospects for Russia's Fuel Cycle Editors' Note The Cost of Recovering Uranium from Seawater by a Braided Polymer Adsorbent System Analyzing and Reducing the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear War Between the United States and Russia How Can Science Support a Process Towards a World Free of Nuclear Weapons? Editors' Note Applications and Limitations of Nuclear Archaeology in Uranium Enrichment Plants Managing the Uranium-233 Stockpile of the United States Low-Yield Nuclear Testing by North Korea in May 2010: Assessing the Evidence with Atmospheric Transport Models and Xenon Activity Calculations Editors' Note
2012
A Review of "Our Own Worst Enemy? Institutional Interests and the Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Expertise" Seismological Constraints on Proposed Low-Yield Nuclear Testing in Particular Regions and Time Periods in the Past, with Comments on "Radionuclide Evidence for Low-Yield Nuclear Testing in North Korea in April/May 2010" by Lars-Erik De Geer Neutron-Use Optimization with Virtual Experiments to Facilitate Research-Reactor Conversion to Low-Enriched Fuel Combining Satellite Imagery and 3D Drawing Tools for Nonproliferation Analysis: A Case Study of Pakistan's Khushab Plutonium Production Reactors Converting the Iranian Heavy Water Reactor IR-40 to a More Proliferation-Resistant Reactor Global Plutonium Production Capabilities with Civilian Research Reactors Editors' Note A Review of "Detect and Deter: Can Countries Verify the Nuclear Test Ban" Nuclear Security and Nuclear Emergency Response in China Radionuclide Evidence for Low-Yield Nuclear Testing in North Korea in April/May 2010 Editors' Note
2011
Nuclear Archaeology for Heavy-Water-Moderated Plutonium Production Reactors Conventional Counterforce Strike: An Option for Damage Limitation in Conflicts with Nuclear-Armed Adversaries? One Hundred Nuclear Wars: Stable Deterrence between the United States and Russia at Reduced Nuclear Force Levels Off Alert in the Presence of Limited Missile Defenses Editors' Note Climate Change, Nuclear Power, and Nuclear Proliferation: Magnitude Matters Using the Graphite Isotope Ratio Method to Verify the DPRK's Plutonium-Production Declaration Survivability of China's Sea-Based Nuclear Forces Editors' Note China's HEU and Plutonium Production and Stocks History of Highly Enriched Uranium Production in Russia The History of Plutonium Production in Russia Plutonium Wastes from the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Complex Consistency Tests for the Declarations of U.S. Fissile-Material Production Editors' Note Foreword: A Transition
2010
Nuclear Security Applications of Antineutrino Detectors: Current Capabilities and Future Prospects Editor's Note Source Terms for Routine UF6 Emissions Analysis of Debris from the Collision of the Cosmos 2251 and the Iridium 33 Satellites The Swedish Plans to Acquire Nuclear Weapons, 1945-1968: An Analysis of the Technical Preparations Editor's Note Assessment of Long Range Laser Weapon Engagements: The Case of the Airborne Laser Editor's Note
2009
Reply by Authors Design Robustness and Safety Adequacy of India's Fast Breeder Reactor The Black Sea Experiment: The Use of Helicopter-Borne Neutron Detectors to Detect Nuclear Warheads in the USSR-US Black Sea Experiment Explosive Properties of Reactor-Grade Plutonium Radioactive Carbon from Nuclear Explosions and Nonthreshold Biological Effects a Twentieth Anniversary Tribute: Comment on Special Commemorative Issue of Science & Global Security Market Power in Uranium Enrichment Fast Reactor Development in the United States Exploring Uranium Resource Constraints on Fissile Material Production in Pakistan Editor's Note The Fast Reactor and Its Fuel Cycle Developments in Japan: Can Japan Unlock its Development Path? India and Fast Breeder Reactors Fast Breeder Reactors in France Effects of Chinese Laser Ranging on Imaging Satellites Gas Centrifuge Theory and Development: A Review of U.S. Programs Editor's Note
2008
Initial Analysis of the Detectability of UO2F2 Aerosols Produced by UF6 Released from Uranium Conversion Plants Compromising Safety: Design Choices and Severe Accident Possibilities in India's Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor Estimates of India's Fissile Material Stocks Fissile Material Stockpiles and Production, 2008 Editor's Note Tomographic Imaging with Cosmic Ray Muons Effects of Separation Processes on Minor Uranium Isotopes in Enrichment Cascades Characteristics of the Gas Centrifuge for Uranium Enrichment and Their Relevance for Nuclear Weapon Proliferation Editor's Note
2007
The Optimal Spatiotemporal Deployment of Radiation Portal Monitors Can Improve Nuclear Detection at Overseas Ports Protecting Nuclear Safeguards Monitoring Data from Tampering Progress in CTBT Monitoring Since its 1999 Senate Defeat Editor's Note Errata Paul Leventhal GUI_Missile_Flyout: A General Program for Simulating Ballistic Missiles Consequences of a Radiological Dispersal Event with Nuclear and Radioactive Sources Weapon-Grade Plutonium Production Potential in the Indian Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor Editor's Note Impact Deflection of Potentially Hazardous Asteroids Using Current Launch Vehicles X-Radiography of Cargo Containers Estimation of the Electromagnetic Radiation Emitted from a Small Centrifuge Plant Tracking Chinese Strategic Mobile Missiles Editor's Note
2006
Nuclear Fission Anatomy of a Project to Produce a First Nuclear Weapon Feasibility of Eliminating the Use of Highly Enriched Uranium in the Production of Medical Radioisotopes Detection of Neutron Sources in Cargo Containers Fissile Materials in South Asia and the Implications of the U.S.-India Nuclear Deal Reducing the Risk of an Accidental Launch Editor's Note EDITOR'S COMMENTS A Few Words About Ted Taylor Review of Methods and Instruments for Determining Undeclared Nuclear Materials and Activities Feasibility of Converting Russian Icebreaker Reactors from HEU to LEU Fuel Russia's Nuclear Icebreaker Fleet On the Proliferation Potential of Uranium Fuel for Research Reactors at Various Enrichment Levels Editor's Note
2005
Presidential Report to the Congress: Net Benefit Analysis of US/Soviet Arms Control Nuclear Proliferation with Particle Accelerators Limited Proliferation-Resistance Benefits from Recycling Unseparated Transuranics and Lanthanides from Light-Water Reactor Spent Fuel Acoustic-Seismic Detection of Ballistic-Missile Launches for Cooperative Early Warning of Nuclear Attack Editor's Note In Memoriam--Ted Taylor A Scientific Impact Response Team for the Aftermath of Small Asteroid and Comet Impacts Defending the Earth Against Asteroids: The Case for a Global Response Reducing the Risks of High-Level Radioactive Wastes at Hanford A Review of Nuclear Testing by the Soviet Union at Novaya Zemlya, 1955-1990 Editor's Note
2004
ERRATA LETTERS The Military Capabilities and Implications of China's Indigenous Satellite-Based Navigation System Understanding Russia's Uranium Enrichment Complex Energy from Bombs: Problems and Solutions in the Implementation of a High-Priority Nonproliferation Project A Comprehensive Approach to Elimination of Highly-Enriched-Uranium From All Nuclear-Reactor Fuel Cycles Editor's Note Damages from a Major Release of 137Cs into the Atmosphere of the United States* An Estimate of India's Uranium Enrichment Capacity Effectiveness of Nuclear Weapons against Buried Biological Agents Nuclear "Bunker Busters" Would More Likely Disperse Than Destroy Buried Stockpiles of Biological and Chemical Agents Airborne Boost-Phase Ballistic Missile Defense Editor's Note
2003
Response by the Authors to the NRC Review of "Reducing the Hazards from Stored Spent Power-Reactor Fuel in the United States" Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Review of "Reducing the Hazards from Stored Spent Power-Reactor Fuel in the United States" THAAD-Like High Altitude Theater Missile Defense: Strategic Defense Capability and Certain Countermeasures Analysis Early Warning in South Asia--Constraints and Implications Research Reactor Vulnerability to Sabotage by Terrorists Editor's Note A Stepping-Stone to a Fully Nuclear Future? Estimating China's Production of Plutonium for Weapons The Authors Respond to Allan Benjamin's Comments Comments on: "Reducing the Hazards from Stored Spent Power-Reactor Fuel in the United States" Reducing the Hazards from Stored Spent Power-Reactor Fuel in the United States Editor's Note
2002
A Desperate Pursuit of Parity U.S.-Russian Bilateral Transparency Regime to Verify Nonproduction of HEU Alternatives for Additional Spent Fuel Storage in South Korea An Initial Analysis of 85 Kr Production and Dispersion from Reprocessing in India and Pakistan Editors Note Nuclear Power and Energy Security: A Revised Strategy for Japan In Memoriam Verification of the Shutdown or Converted Status of Excess Warhead Production Capacity: Technology Options and Policy Issues Storage MOX: A Third Way for Plutonium Disposal? Editor's Note Occasional Report The Conversion of Research Reactors to Low-Enriched Fuel and the Case of the FRM-II History and the Current Status of the Russian Early-Warning System Low-Yield Earth-Penetrating Nuclear Weapons Editor's Notes
2001
Editorial board An assessment of antineutrino detection as a tool for monitoring nuclear explosions Acoustic weapons - a prospective assessment Editor's note Editorial board Monitoring large enrichment plants using thermal imagery from commercial satellites: A case study A proposed approach for monitoring nuclear warhead dismantlement Tamper-indicating seals for nuclear disarmament and hazardous waste management Using Nuclear Materials To Prevent Nuclear Proliferation Editor's note Editorial board Public health risks of substituting mixed-oxide for uranium fuel in pressurized-water reactors U-232 and the proliferation-resistance of U-233 in spent fuel Editor's note
2000
Editorial board Technical debate over Patriot performance in the Gulf War: American Physical Society panel correctly rejects criticisms of analysis showing patriot failed to destroy Scud warheads Sheltering effects of buildings from biological weapons How much plutonium could have been produced in the DPRK IRT reactor? Editor's note Using commercial imaging satellites to detect the operation of plutonium-production reactors and gaseous-diffusion plants Editorial board Response to Science & Global Security article "Technical debate over Patriot performance in the Gulf War" by Jeremiah Sullivan et al. A simple model for calculating ballistic missile defense effectiveness Assessing the risk from the depleted uranium weapons used in operation Allied Force The hazard posed by depleted uranium munitions Editor's note
1999
Editorial board Ballistic missile defense guidance and control issues Technical debate over Patriot performance in the Gulf War Issues for detecting undeclared post-closure excavation at geologic repositories Editor's note
1998
Editorial board Bringing Prithvi down to Earth: The capabilities and potential effectiveness of India's Prithvi Missile Securing Russia's HEU stocks Immobilization of excess weapon plutonium: A better alternative to glass Review of the Radkowsky Thorium reactor concept Editor's note Editorial board An analysis of the Pakistani Ghauri missile test of April 6, 1998 Comments on Alexander Dmitriev's paper entitled "Conversion of the Russian plutonium production reactors: Transition to the second phase" Conversion of the Russian plutonium production reactors: Transition to the second phase Background to plutonium conversion project Conversion of Russian plutonium production reactors Analysis of fission products-- a method for verification of a CTBT during on-site inspections Does the U.S. science-based stockpile stewardship program pose a proliferation threat? The question of pure fusion explosions under the CTBT Editor's note Editorial board The proliferation risks of plutonium mines The Soviet program for peaceful uses of nuclear explosions Editor's note
1997
Reflections on the GAO report on the nuclear triad Noble-gas atmospheric monitoring for international safeguards at reprocessing facilities Defeating theater missile defense radars with active decoys Nuclear missile delivery capabilities in emerging nuclear states Transparency measures for subcritical experiments under the CTBT Thorium fuel for light water reactors--reducing proliferation potential of nuclear power fuel cycle Fate and control of blistering chemical warfare agents in Kuwait's desalination industry A feasibility study of the destruction of chemical weapons by photocatalytic oxidation Fissile material production potential in South Asia Investigating the allegations of Indian nuclear test preparations in the Rajasthan desert
1996
The destruction of weapons under the chemical weapons convention Analysis of the size and quality of uranium inventories in Russia An Assessment of the Use of Diluents in the Vitrification of Weapons-Grade Plutonium Long-term safeguards for plutonium in geologic repositories Editorial board Comment on the Bowman and Venneri analysis Dynamic analysis of nuclear excursions in underground repositories containing plutonium Comments on the draft paper "Underground supercriticality from plutonium and other fissile material," written by C.D. Bowman and F. Venneri (LANL) Underground supercriticality from plutonium and other fissile material Might underground waste repositories blow up? Editor's note
1995
Editorial board Russian nuclear-powered submarine decommissioning Locating nuclear explosions at the Chinese test site near Lop Nor International control of tritium to prevent horizontal proliferation and to foster nuclear disarmament Editor's note
1994
Editorial board Occasional report Prospects for universal geothermal energy from heat mining North Korea's Corroding Fuel North Korean Plutonium Production Excerpt from "Summary of near-term options for Russian plutonium-production reactors Converting Russian plutonium-production reactors to civilian use The cessation of production of weapons-grade plutonium in Russia A Japanese strategic uranium reserve: A safe and economic alternative to plutonium Editor's note Editorial board Science and the climate convention Integration of the military and civilian nuclear fuel cycles in Russia The operational status of the Russian space-based early warning system Transformation of the Soviet space program after the cold war Nuclear weapons safety: The case of Trident Editor's note Editorial board Occasional report: Center for Arms Control, Energy and Environmental Studies, Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology Can Russian strategic submarines survive at sea? The fundamental limits of passive acoustics The U.S.-Russian HEU agreement: Internal safeguards to prevent diversion of HEU Weapons to fuel Highly enriched uranium production for South African nuclear weapons An analysis of the North Korean Nodong Missile Editor's note
1993
Editorial board Explosive properties of reactor-grade plutonium Wind energy: Current status and future prospects Video evidence on the effectiveness of Patriot during the 1991 Gulf War Editor's note Editorial board ISTC fact sheet Teleseismic monitoring of underground nuclear explosions at the Nevada test site from Borovoye, Kazakhstan The politics of verification: Limiting the testing of nuclear weapons Nuclear archaeology: Verifying declarations of fissile-material production On the application of IAEA safeguards to plutonium and highly enriched uranium from military inventories Integrating uranium from weapons into the civil fuel cycle Disposition of separated plutonium Editor's note
1992
Editorial board Depressed trajectory SLBMs: A technical evaluation and arms control possibilities Long-range nuclear cruise missiles and stability Comments on "The potential for reducing CO2 emissions in China with modern technology" The potential for reducing CO2 emissions with modern energy technology: An illustrative scenario for the power sector in China Editor's note
1991
Editorial board Nuclear warhead safety The proliferation of orbiting fragments: A simple mathematical model The radioactive signature of the hydrogen bomb Human reliability and safety in the handling of nuclear weapons An atmospheric limit on nuclear-powered microwave weapons Arms control at the stage of research and development? --The case of inertial confinement fusion Editor's note Editorial board Assessment of the safety of U.S. nuclear weapons and related nuclear test requirements Nuclear warhead safety Nuclear warhead safety and the CTB Verification of biological and toxin weapons disarmament International manned lunar base: Beginning the 21st century in space Secondary gamma radiation from neutral particle beams Design and feasibility of superhard silos Calculating mobile missile vulnerability Calculating silo-based missile vulnerability The ICBM basing question Alternative roles for biomass in coping with greenhouse warming Editor's note
1990
Editorial board Errata Letters & comment The 1969 ACDA study on warhead dismantlement Rationalized speed/altitude thresholds for ABM testing Laser beam scattering in the atmosphere Laser brightness verification Laser brightness verification The gravity gradiometer as a verification tool The hazard from plutonium dispersal by nuclear-warhead accidents Aborting unauthorized launches of nuclear-armed ballistic missiles through postlaunch destruction Tom Johnson Editor's note Letters & comment The use of helicopter-borne neutron detectors to detect nuclear warheads in the USSR-US Black Sea experiment US and Soviet reports from a cooperative verification experiment Verifying the number of warheads on multiple-warhead missiles through on-site inspections Particle sources and radiography Emission and absorption of radiation Fissile materials and weapon design Detecting nuclear warheads The effects of nuclear test-ban regimes on third-generation-weapon innovation Radioactive carbon from nuclear explosions and nonthreshold biological effects Editor's note
1989
Sary Shagan and Kyshtym Civilian uses of nuclear reactors in space Detection of space reactors by their gamma-ray and positron emissions Infrared monitoring of nuclear power in space Background on space nuclear power The military connection and environmental hazards of space-based nuclear power Space Reactor Arms Control: Overview Verification of limits on long-range nuclear SLCMs Verified elimination of nuclear warheads Editor's note Glasnost and the new journal Every profession needs its own journal